Can you believe these interest rates? After all of the concerns about China and the manipulation of their currency, look at this! There seems to be no investor concern at all!
Conf Rate 1 Point
30 Yr 4.375 Low for the YR
15 Yr 3.875
10 Yr 3.75
7 Yr 3.75
5 Yr 3.375
$417,000 max loan
FHA
30 Yr 4.75
15 Yr 4.50
203k 5.00
$417,000 max conf loan
V A
30 yr 4.75%
Conf Jumbo
30 Yr 4.50 WOW
15 Yr 4.125
5 Yr 3.875
MAX LOAN LIMITS
OC $729,750
LA $729,750
San Diego $697,500
Riverside $500,000
San Berdo $500,000
FHA Jumbo
30 Yr 4.875
15 Yr 4.50
5 Yr 3.75
Interest rates are great. If there is anything we can do to help you please let me know.
Showing posts with label Interest Rates. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Interest Rates. Show all posts
Monday, June 28, 2010
Thursday, May 27, 2010
Why Are Interest Rates Going Down?
For months the alleged experts (including me) espoused the logic that after the Fed exited the Mortgage Backed Securities Purchase Program on March 31, interest rates would move up. But here we sit, 60 days later, and rates are at their lowest point of the year. What’s up with that?
Let’s start with some general economic realities. First, there is a finite amount of cash in the world. Second, there are only four basic places to put that cash:
When the stock market is moving up, investors buy stocks with their cash, which means the cash leaves the bond market. To attract buyers back to bonds, the bond traders have to offer bonds with higher yields (that is loans with higher interest rates).
When the stock market is trending lower, you hear the expression “flight to quality” towards the safety and stability of bonds. When more people look to buy bonds, bond traders lower the yields (hence lower rates).
How does this relate today? Look at the failing economies in Europe and Greece. Investors are nervous about the impact on our stock market as international partners struggle. The Dow has dropped nearly 2000 points! So people are pulling their cash out and buying MBSs at a feverish rate… therefore, lower rates.
Will it last?
Many stock analysts are predicting a rebound beginning in July. That seems to make sense for me.
We are back into a more traditional interest rate forecasting model. Watch stocks, watch inflation and watch jobs numbers, and you will make wiser decisions.
by Dean Hartman, Chief Planning Officer at Continental Home Loans
Let’s start with some general economic realities. First, there is a finite amount of cash in the world. Second, there are only four basic places to put that cash:
- In the stock market.
- In the real estate market, which includes the financing of real estate (Mortgage Backed Securities).
- In the Commodities Market (gold, silver, orange juice, pork bellies, etc).
- Or leave it in cash (CDs, money markets, etc).
When the stock market is moving up, investors buy stocks with their cash, which means the cash leaves the bond market. To attract buyers back to bonds, the bond traders have to offer bonds with higher yields (that is loans with higher interest rates).
When the stock market is trending lower, you hear the expression “flight to quality” towards the safety and stability of bonds. When more people look to buy bonds, bond traders lower the yields (hence lower rates).
How does this relate today? Look at the failing economies in Europe and Greece. Investors are nervous about the impact on our stock market as international partners struggle. The Dow has dropped nearly 2000 points! So people are pulling their cash out and buying MBSs at a feverish rate… therefore, lower rates.
Will it last?
Many stock analysts are predicting a rebound beginning in July. That seems to make sense for me.
We are back into a more traditional interest rate forecasting model. Watch stocks, watch inflation and watch jobs numbers, and you will make wiser decisions.
by Dean Hartman, Chief Planning Officer at Continental Home Loans
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