Your ARM Is Adjusting Lower. Is There A Downside To Letting It?

When adjustable-rate mortgages are on the verge of adjusting, a common concern among homeowners is that their mortgage rates will adjust higher.
Well, this year, because of the math of how ARMs adjust, homeowners around the country are seeing that mortgage rates on ARMs can sometimes adjust lower, too.
Adjusting conforming mortgages are adjusting to as low as 3 percent.
As a quick review, here's the timeline for most conforming adjustable-rate mortgages:

1. There's a "starter period" in which the interest rate remains fixed. This can range from 1-10 years.
2. There's a rate change after the starter period. It's called the "first adjustment".
3. Subsequent, annual adjustments follow until the loan "ends". This is usually after Year 30.

The adjustments each year are based on a math formula that's included in the contract with your lender. It's surprisingly basic.  Each year, your new, adjusted mortgage rate is equal to the sum of some constant -- usually 2.25 percent -- and some variable.  The variable is most commonly equal to the 12-month LIBOR.
As a formula, the math looks like this:

(Adjusted Mortgage Rates) = (12-Month LIBOR) + (2.250 Percent)

LIBOR is an acronym standing for London Interbank Offered Rate. It's an interest rate at which banks borrow money from each other -- very similar to our Fed Funds Rate here in the United States. And also like our Fed Funds Rate, LIBOR has been low lately.
As a result, adjusting mortgage rates have been low, too.
In 2009, 5-year ARMs adjusted to 6 percent or higher. Today, ARMs are adjusting to 3.000%.
Based on the math, you may want to let your ARM adjust with the market year. Or, if you plan to keep your home long-term and have concerns about adjustments in 2011 and beyond, it may be a good time to open a new ARM.  The same forces that are driving down LIBOR and helping to keep mortgage rates low overall, too.
Consider talking to your loan officer and making a plan. With mortgage rates as low as they've been in history, most homeowners have options.  Just don't wait too long. LIBOR — and mortgage rates in general — are known to change quickly.

Should I Refinance?

Oh my gosh!  Have you seen what interest is doing these days??? There are Ten Year Mortgages in the 3.75% range for heaven’s sake! Yes, 3.75%!!!


So the big question is, "Should I refiance?"  Here are some things to consider:

1. Does it make financial sense?

If you are considering a “rate/payment reduction” refinance, I typically recommend that people do one simple calculation. Divide your monthly savings into the costs (out-of-pocket expenses AND any increase in your principal balance). That number will tell you how many months’ payments it will take to “break even”. Depending on how long you anticipate staying in the home, and comparing that to your “break even” month, will give some idea to what is the right decision.

2. What about a refinance to shorten the term of a mortgage?

When examining the possibility of cutting years off your mortgage, you should take a good hard look at how such a move can affect your monthly cash flow. If your payment stays the same and you save a few years of payments, many people will choose that option (rather than the monthly savings of a “rate/payment reduction” refinance). However, if your payment is going up (in order to save years), take time to analyze the impact on your monthly activities. Will you be sacrificing too much to save payments 20 year from now?

3. What will my home appraise for?

This is the biggest challenge facing most people. With so many homes underwater, there are many people who won’t be able to refinance. If you have an FHA loan, there is some hope if you qualify for their “Streamline Refinance Program” because there is an option to close the loan without an appraisal. (For a 15 minute video explaining the program, go to www.Facebook.com/FHAStreamlineRefinances ) For others, loan-to-value issues can create the need for Mortgage Insurance when it didn’t before (making “savings” harder to achieve). Understand that most lenders require you to pay for an appraisal (and maybe an application fee too) when you submit your loan request, so do your best to have a real sense of what your home will appraise for.
 
If you need the name of a lender you can trust, give me a call, I have several.

Should You Refinance Your ARM, Or Let It Adjust Lower?

If your adjustable rate mortgage is due to adjust this year, don't go rushing to replace it just yet. Your soon-to-adjust mortgage rate may actually go lower. It's related to the math behind the ARM.

Conventional, adjustable-rate mortgages share a common life cycle:

1. There's a "starter period" in which the interest rate remains fixed
2. There's an initial adjustment period after the starter period called the "first adjustment"
3. There's a subsequent annual adjustment until the loan's term expires -- usually at Year 30.

The starter period will vary from 1 to 10 years, but at the point of first adjustment, conventional ARMs become the same. A homeowner's new, adjusted mortgage rate is determined by the sum of some constant, and a variable. The constant is most often 2.25% and the variable is most often the 12-month LIBOR.

As a formula, the math looks like this:

(Adjusted Mortgage Rates) = (12-Month LIBOR) + (2.250 Percent)

LIBOR is an acronym standing for London Interbank Offered Rate. It's the rate at which banks borrow money from each other and, lately, LIBOR has been low. As a result, adjusting mortgage rates have been low, too.

Last year, 5-year ARMs were adjusting to 6 percent or higher. Today, they're adjusting to 3.375%.

Based on the math, it may be wise to just let your ARM adjust this year. Or, depending on how long you plan to stay in your home, consider a refinance to a new ARM.  Starter rates on today's adjustable rate mortgages are exceptionally low , as are the rates for fixed rate loans.

Either way, talk to your loan officer about making a plan. With mortgage rates as low as they've ever been in history, homeowners have some interesting options. Just don't wait too long. LIBOR -- and mortgage rates in general -- are known to change quickly.