Friday, December 3, 2010

Have a Great Holiday Party!


Here's some great ideas for having the best Holiday Party ever!


1. Have a great guest list. Make sure you have compatible personalities. You also need both extroverts to keep things lively and introverts to laugh at the others.

2. Make it Easy. If people have to bring gifts, food or costumes expect a lower attendance. No one want one more thing to worry about this season. The exception is if it is part of the theme.

3. Choose a Theme. Make it fun and carry the theme out throughout the party. Examples: White Christmas - everything is white with white twinkle lights, Ugly Christmas Sweater - everyone wears the worst Christmas sweater they own. It's very funny if your worst is someone else's favorite.

4. Talk it Up - No one is going to know how great your party will be, so you have to tell them. Enlist some help from other attendees to generate enthusiasm

5. Have the party on a Thursday. It is toward the end of the week but not on the weekend when everyone is already over booked.

6. Use evite to not only send out great invitations but to get good party ideas. I love it for the easy RSVP.

7. Have a surprise during the party. It can be a small gift for guests, a rare delicacy, a special guest or a fun activity. Something the guests will be talking about.

8. Keep the entertainment unstructured. If you have a Karaoke, don't make everyone participate. Stay loose and let the party take on its own personality.

9. Relax and Enjoy. When you are relaxed and having fun, your guests will too.

10. Don't forget to post pictures on Facebook, and be sure to tweet.

11. Always kill a party, don't let it die a slow death! End at a time when everyone is having fun and wishing for more.

Wednesday, November 24, 2010

October Existing Home Sales : Buyers And Sellers In Balance

Existing Home Supply (Oct 2009-2010)After two months of surging sales, home resales fell by 100,000 units last month to 4.4 million homes nationwide.

October's Existing Home Sales tally is slightly below the report's 6-month rolling average, according to the National Association of REALTORS® -- a time span which includes this year's $8,000 federal home buyer tax credit's tail end.

Housing statistics have been wildly inconsistent during that period.

For the future of housing markets, though, it's encouraging that first-time and investment property buyers were both outnumbered by "move-up" buyers; buyers that have sold their respective homes in favor of larger ones. It's the move-up buyers that power housing.

In October, buyer profiles broke down as follows:

  • First-time buyers : 32 percent of all buyers, unchanged from September
  • Repeat home buyers : 49 percent of all buyers, down one tick from September
  • Investors : 19 percent of all buyers, up one tick from September

As a point of comparison, first-timers represented 50 percent of all purchases in October 2009.

For home buyers, October's Existing Home Sales report is neither weak nor strong. It signals that, with mortgage rates low and home affordability high, housing may be reaching some form of balance. Because -- although home sales are down -- home supplies are down, too.

We can infer that buyers outnumber sellers, but probably not by much. In most areas, negotiation leverage is still up for grabs.

At the current pace of sales, the complete housing stock would be depleted in 10.6 months.

Tuesday, November 23, 2010

Applying For A Mortgage Soon? Don't Open New Credit Cards On Black Friday.

FICO recipeBlack Friday is 3 days away. It's the official start of the 2010 Holiday Shopping Season.

Sales are expected to top $111 billion this year and, already, businesses are vying for shoppers and their dollars. Newspaper circulars are getting larger, and in-store discounting is more prevalent.

But one discount that shoppers should think twice about is the popular "Open A Charge Card, Save 20%" promotion. The short-term savings may be tempting, but the long-term costs may be huge.

It's because of how credit scores work.

According to myFICO.com, "new credit" accounts for 85 out of 850 possible credit scoring points, with new credit defined by such traits as:

  • Number of recently opened accounts
  • Number of recent credit inquiries
  • Time since recent credit inquiries
  • Proportion of new accounts to all accounts

These traits are negatives against a FICO score so with each new, in-store credit card application, a person's credit score will fall. The fall will be especially pronounced for persons lacking credit "depth", or who have made a disproportionately large number of new credit applications recently.

For soon-to-be homeowners, or would-be refinancers , credit scores are worth keeping high. This is because credit scores change the mortgage rates and/or loan fees for which an applicant is eligible.

As an illustration, assuming 20% equity on a $200,000 conforming loan:

  • 740 FICO : No added loan costs
  • 720 FICO : 0.250% increase in loan costs, or $500
  • 700 FICO : 0.750% increase in loan costs, or $1,500
  • 680 FICO : 1.500% increase in loan costs, or $3,000
  • 660 FICO : 2.500% increase in loan costs, or $5,000

 

It's expensive to have a low credit score -- more expensive than the money saved by opening a card at the mall, anyway.

That said, if you know you won't need your credit for a mortgage within the next 6 months, the risk of applying for in-store credit cards is likely small. But if you'll need your FICO soon, consider paying for your gifts full price.

Monday, November 22, 2010

Home Safety Tip : How To Install And Test A Smoke Detector

Test your smoke alarmAccording to the United States Fire Administration, in 2008, there were an estimated 378,200 in-home fires. Combined, these fires caused $8 billion in property damage and killed 2,600 people.

Unfortunately, many of affected homes did have smoke detectors installed, but the devices were faulty either because of dead batteries, or because the smoke detector had reached the end of its useful life.

This is why it's so important to test your home's smoke detectors at least once annually.

Here's how to test a smoke detector:

  1. Ask a family member or friend to walk to the farthest point of the home from the detector.
  2. Push and hold the testing button to activate the alarm. Usually, this takes 5 seconds.
  3. Confirm with the family member or friend that the alarm was audible from his/her location.

And there's an additional step worth taking.

Just because the smoke detector's alarm works doesn't mean that the actual smoke detector works. For less than $15, therefore, you may want to buy a "smoke test" from Amazon to confirm whether your detector is faulty. The smoke test simulates a real fire so, if the detector fails to sound when it's tested, it's time to replace the entire smoke detector unit.

2,000 residential fires occur on Thanksgiving Day each year -- most of them related to cooking. Before Thursday, make sure your smoke detectors are working. You don't want your home to be Fire #2001.

Friday, November 19, 2010

Mortgage Rates Still Rising. Is This The End Of The Refi Boom?

Freddie Mac mortgage rates (January - November 2010)

Rock-bottom mortgage rates may be gone for good.  This week's Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey shows in numbers what rate shoppers have learned the hard way -- mortgage rates are spiking.

During the 7-day period ending November 18, the average 30-year, conforming fixed rate mortgage jumped to 4.39 percent, an increase of 0.22% from the week prior.

And it's not just rates that are soaring. The average number of points charged to consumers increased to 0.9 percent last week. For most of the year, that cost had been 0.7 percent.

One "point" is equal to 1 percent of your loan size.

With the sudden rise in mortgage rates, we have to question whether the Refi Boom is ending. Between April and early-November, conforming mortgage rates dropped more than a full percentage point and, during that time, a lot of homeowners capitalized on the market. Refinance activity was strong; rates cut new lows each week.

Today, however, Wall Street sentiment is different. There's a growing concern for the future of the U.S. dollar, and that's making mortgage bonds less attractive to investors. As demand drops, so does the underlying bond's price which, in turn, causes mortgage rates to rise.

Buy-sell patterns like this are common. The speed at which they're changing is not.  Mortgage lenders can barely keep up with the volatility, issuing up to 4 separate rate sheets in a day.

Therefore, if you're shopping for mortgage rates, or wondering whether it's finally time to join the Refi Boom, the time to lock is now. Mortgage rates should remain volatile through the New Year, at least. At what level they'll be then, though, is anyone's guess.

Thursday, November 18, 2010

Housing Starts Data Much Better Than The Headlines Would Have You Believe

Housing Starts (Nov 2008-Oct 2010)Newspaper stories can be misleading sometimes -- especially with respect to real estate. We saw a terrific example of this Wednesday.

A "Housing Start" is a privately-owned home on which construction has started and, according to the Commerce Department's October 2010 data, Housing Starts data dropped by nearly 12 percent as compared to September.

The media jumped on the story, and its negative implications for the housing market overall.

A sampling of the headlines included:

  • Housing Starts Plunge: Market's 'Pulse is Faint' (WSJ)
  • Housing Starts Tumble (Reuters)
  • Housing Starts Sink 11.7 Percent In October (NPR)

Although factually correct, the headlines are misleading. Yes, Housing Starts fell sharply in October, but if we strip out the volatile "5 or more units" portion of the data -- a grouping that includes apartment buildings and condominiums -- Housing Starts only fell 1 percent.

That's a big difference. Especially because most new construction buyers around the country don't purchase entire condo buildings. They buy single-family residences.

As an illustration, 84% of October's Housing Starts were single-family homes. The remaining starts were multi-units.

This is why the headlines don't tell the whole story. The market that matters most to buyers -- the single-family market -- gets completely glossed over. The Housing Starts reading wasn't nearly as awful as the papers would have you believe.  Furthermore, it's never mentioned that single-family Housing Permits climbed 1 percent last month, either.

According to the Census Bureau, 82% of homes start construction within 60 days of permit-issuance. Therefore, we can expect December's starts to be higher, too.

Wednesday, November 17, 2010

Homebuilders Expect A Surge In New Home Sales

NAHB Housing Market Index November 2008-2010Homebuilder confidence is higher for the third straight month this month.

According to the National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index, a combination of shrinking new home inventory plus higher-quality foot traffic is boosting builder optimism.

November's confidence reading of 16 is the highest since June 2010. The Housing Market Index is now above its 3-year trendline, too.

The purpose of the Housing Market Index is to measure "the pulse of the single-family housing market". The survey is sent to home builders around the country, asking them to report on their business.

The survey is 3 questions:

  1. How are market conditions today?
  2. How do market conditions look 6 months from now?
  3. How is the prospective traffic of new buyers for new homes?

Responses are then collected, and seasonally-weighted.

Of course, it's no surprise that builder confidence is rising. The sales of new homes spiked in September, and the jobs market is moving in the right direction. Additionally, low mortgage rates help to attract new buyers, too. Altogether, the outlook in the New Home market is as rosy as it's been in months.

The downside for new home buyers , though, is that, because of their optimism, builders may be unwilling to offer free upgrades or other discounts. Certainly not with sales are expected to return to "federal tax credit" levels, anyway.

Therefore, if you're in the market for a new home, or expect to be "buying new" in early-2011, you may want to move up your time-frame. Not only are low mortgage rates not likely to last, but neither are low home prices.

Tuesday, November 16, 2010

Mortgage Rates Spike On Strong Retail Sales Data. Could 4 Percent Rates Be Done?

Retail Sales vs Consumer Confidence (2008-2010)

If consumer spending is a key to economic recovery, the nation is on its way.

Monday, the Census Bureau released national Retail Sales figures for October and, for the second straight month, the data surged past expectation. Last month's retail figures jumped 1.2 percent -- the largest monthly jump since March -- as total sales receipts climbed to a 2-year high.

Consumer confidence is rising, too. Though still below the long-term trend, confidence in the future up-ticked in October.

The current confidence reading is now double the low-point from February 2009.

It's no surprise that both Retail Sales and Consumer Confidence are higher. They correlate in a common-sense-type manner. When consumers are more confident in the economy, they're more likely to spend their money. This, in turn, leads to more purchases and rising retail receipts.

Unfortunately, for home buyers and rate shoppers , it also leads to rising mortgage rates.

Because consumer spending accounts for two-thirds of the economy, spending growth leads to economic growth. But it's been a lack of growth that's kept mortgage rates this low.

When the growth starts, the low rates end. It's why mortgage rates have added as much as 1/2 percent over the past 10 days. Consider the recent "good news":

The days of 4 percent, 30-year fixed rate mortgages may be nearing its end.  If you're still floating a mortgage rate or thinking of buying or refinancing, consider the impact of rising rates on your budget.

The time to act may be sooner than you had planned.

Monday, November 15, 2010

How To Protect Your Home From The Influenza Virus

The 2010-2011 Flu Season has started and the Center for Disease Control expects that the H1N1 influenza virus (i.e "Swine Flu") will play a large role worldwide, as in 2009-2010. Last year, the virus reached pandemic status -- the first time that's happened in 40 years.

In public places, avoiding "germy" places can be difficult. But within your home, you can easily create germ-free spaces.  This 4-minute interview from NBC's The Today Show teaches about the flu virus, and how to protect yourself.

A few of the cleanliness tips shared include:

  • Flu virus can live for up to 8 hours on a household surface
  • Computer keyboards carry 400 times more bacteria than a toilet seat
  • Make sure your cleaning tools (i.e. sponges, mops) are, themselves, clean

The video also shares tips for keeping a cleaner, safer home, plus facts on the influenza virus.

Stay clean, stay healthy, and consider vaccinations. The flu virus hospitalizes 200,000 people each year.

 

Friday, November 12, 2010

October 2010 : 5 States Account For Half Of The Nation's Foreclosure Activity

Foreclosures, cumulative by state (October 2010)

According to October data from foreclosure-tracking firm RealtyTrac, foreclosure filings topped 300,000 for the 20th straight month last month as 1 in every 389 U.S. homes received a foreclosure filing.

The generic term "foreclosure filing" is defined to include default notices, scheduled auctions, and bank repossessions. Versus the month prior, filings fell 4 percent, and as compared to October 2009, filings were essentially the same.

As usual, foreclosure density varied by region last month, with just 5 states accounting for close to half of the nation's repossessed homes.

  • California : 14.8 percent of all bank repossessions
  • Florida : 14.4 percent of all bank repossessions
  • Michigan : 7.3 percent of all bank repossessions
  • Texas : 6.6 percent of all bank repossessions
  • Arizona : 6.0 percent of all bank repossessions

The other 45 states accounted for the remaining half.

It reminds us that, like everything else in real estate, foreclosures are local.

For today's home buyers, though, foreclosures represent an interesting opportunity. 

Homes bought in various stages of foreclosure are often less expensive than other, non-foreclosure homes and it's one of the reasons why distressed home sales now represent 35 percent of all home resales.  But don't confuse less expensive for less costly.  Foreclosed homes may also be in various stages of disrepair. Getting them into living condition can be expensive.

Your best real estate "deal", therefore, may be that non-distressed home that's in sound, move-in ready condition.

If you're buying foreclosures -- or even just thinking about it -- make sure you talk with a real estate agent first. Buying distressed property is different from the "typical" home purchase. You'll want somebody experienced in your corner.

Wednesday, November 10, 2010

Fed Survey : Mortgage Guidelines Tighten Further, Freeze Out Would-Be Refinancers

Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey on Bank Lending Practices

It's getting tougher to get approved for a mortgage. Still.

In its quarterly survey of senior loan officers around the country, the Federal Reserve asked whether "prime" residential mortgage guidelines" have tightened in the prior 3 months.

A "prime" borrower typically carries a well-documented credit history with high credit scores, has a low debt-to-income ratio, and uses a traditional fixed-rate or adjustable-rate mortgage.

For the period July-September 2010, 52 of 54 responding loan officers admitted to tightening their prime guidelines, or leaving them "basically unchanged".

Just 4% of banks loosened their lending standards.

If you've applied for a home loan lately -- for either purchase or refinance -- you've likely experienced the effects of the last 4 years. Because of delinquencies and defaults, today's mortgage underwriters are forced to scrutinize income, assets and credit scores, among other facets of an home loan application.

Mortgage applicants have higher hurdles to clear:

  • Minimum credit scores are higher versus last year
  • Downpayment/equity requirements are larger versus last year
  • Debt-to-Income ratios must be lower versus last year

In other words, although mortgage rates are the lowest they've been in history, qualification standards are not.  Minimum eligibility requirements are tougher, and appear to be toughening still.

If you're among the many people wondering if now is the right time to join the Refinance Boom, or to buy a home, consider that, while mortgage rates may fall further, eligibility standards may not.

Low mortgage rates don't matter if you can't qualify for them

Tuesday, November 9, 2010

Credit, Part II: The Five Factors of Credit Scoring

Credit, Part II: The Five Factors of Credit Scoring
This is a good article about how your credit score is determined.

Pending Home Sales Slip In September, Suggesting A Buyer's Market Until January

Pending Home SalesAfter 3 straight months of improvement, the Pending Home Sales Index slid lower in September. As compared to August, September's reading fell 2 percent.

A "pending home sale" is a home under contract to sell, but not yet closed. The data is drawn from a combination of local real estate associations and national brokers, and represents 20 percent of all purchase transactions in a given month.

Because of the large sample set, and because 80 percent of homes under contract close within 60 days, the Pending Home Sales Index is a terrific future indicator for the housing market. A high correlation exists between the Pending Home Sales Index and the NAR's monthly Existing Home Sales report issued two months hence.

Expect home sales to idle into the New Year, therefore.

For home buyers in , this is good news. Over the last two months, housing markets have overwhelmingly favored home sellers.

Consider than, since June, the volume of both new home sales and existing home sales has increased, causing the available home inventory to fall by months. Meanwhile, helped by low interest rates, demand from buyers has remained relatively stable.

As with everything in economics, falling supply with constant demand leads to higher prices.

Therefore, the Pending Home Sales Index's fading September figures suggest a more balanced supply-and-demand curve in the months ahead, a move that should suppress rising home prices and shift negotiation leverage back to the buy-side. 

So long as mortgage rates remain rock bottom, the autumn season is looking like a terrific time to buy.

Monday, November 8, 2010

How Close Do You Live To America's Largest Landfills?

LandfillsThe 1937 opening of the Fresno Municipal Sanitary Landfill marked the birth of the modern landfill.

Today, transporting and burying garbage is a $50 billion annual business with an estimated 3,000 landfills in operation across the country, plus an additional 10,000 municipal "dump" sites.

A recent article by Forbes detailed the nation's 10 largest landfills, collectively profiling the structures as technology-driven, environmentally-responsible, and mostly odor-free.

The 10 largest landfills, according to Forbes:

  1. Apex Regional (Las Vegas, NV)
  2. Puente Hills (Whittier, CA)
  3. Newton County Landfill Partnership (Brook, IN)
  4. Okeechobee (Okeechobee, FL)
  5. Atlantic Waste (Waverly, VA)
  6. Rumpke Sanitary (Colerain Township, OH)
  7. Pine Tree Acres (Lenox, MI)
  8. El Sobrante (Corona, CA)
  9. Veolia Orchard Hills (Davis Junction, IL)
  10. Denver Arapahoe Disposal Site (Aurora, CO)

Landfill sites are often "hidden"; blended in to their surroundings. Because of this, when you're shopping for a home, you may not know just how close you're buying to an landfill or dump.

Therefore, be sure to ask your real estate agent about it, and consider following up with the county to learn what materials can be safely disposed at the local site.

Friday, November 5, 2010

Today's Jobs Report Will Keep Mortgage Rates Highly Volatile

Net Job Gains Oct 2008 - Sept 2010Mortgage rates have been falling since April, shedding more than 1 percentage point since the Refi Boom began. Today, that momentum could lose some steam.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the October jobs report at 8:30 A.M. ET. With a stronger-than-expected reading, mortgage rates should rise, harming home affordability nationwide.

As cited by the Fed earlier this week, jobs are a key part of economic growth and growth affects mortgage rates.

Looking back at jobs, starting in January 2010, after close to 24 consecutive months of job loss, the economy added jobs for the first time since 2007. It started a small jobs winning streak. By May -- boosted by the temporary census workers -- monthly job growth reached as far north as 431,000 jobs.

That figure then slipped negative in June and has yet to turn-around.

This month, economists expect 61,000 jobs lost and 9.6% Unemployment Rate.

Jobs matter to the U.S. economy. Among other reasons, employed Americans spend more on everyday goods and services, and are less likely to stop payments on a mortgage. These effects spur the economy, stem foreclosures, and promote higher home values.

The reverse is also true. Fewer workers means fewer disposable dollars and, in theory, a slowing economy. Weak jobs data should spur a stock market sell-off which should, in turn, help lead to mortgage rates lower.

Strong jobs data, on the other hand, should cause mortgage rates to rise.

The stronger October's employment figures, the higher mortgage rates should go.

Mortgage rates have been jumpy this week because of the Federal Reserve and its new support for bond markets. Today's employment report should add to the volatility.

Wednesday, November 3, 2010

A Simple Explanation Of The Federal Reserve Statement (November 3, 2010 Edition)

Putting the FOMC statement in plain EnglishToday, the Federal Open Market Committee voted 9-to-1 to leave the Fed Funds Rate unchanged within in its target range of 0.000-0.250 percent.

In its press release, the FOMC noted that, since September's meeting, the pace of economic and job growth "continues to be slow".  Housing starts are "depressed", income growth is "modest" and commercial real estate investment is "weak".

With respect to its prior economic stimuli, the Fed deemed the recovery "disappointingly slow", while, at the same time, noting that growth will come.

The Fed also noted that inflation is running lower that what's optimal, hinting at the potential for deflation.

Lastly, the Fed re-acknowledged its plan to hold the Fed Funds Rate near zero percent "for an extended period", and also announced a new, $600 billion support package for the bond market. In most instances, a move like this would drive mortgage rates lower, but the Fed's stimulus had been widely telegraphed, and $600 billion isn't too far from the initial package estimates.

Mortgage market reaction has been muted thus far. Mortgage rates are unchanged post-FOMC, but looked poised to worsen.

The FOMC's next scheduled meeting is December 14, 2010. It's the last scheduled meeting of the year.

Mortgage Rate Lock Alert : Expect Rate Changes Wednesday Afternoon

Comparing 30-year fixed mortgage rate to Fed Funds Rate since 2000The Federal Reserve ends a scheduled, 2-day meeting today. It's the seventh of 8 scheduled Fed meetings in 2010, and the eighth overall this year.

The Fed held an unscheduled meeting May 9, 2010.

When today's meeting adjourns, Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke & Co. will publish a formal statement within which the Fed is expected to announce "no change" to the Fed Funds Rate. But that doesn't mean that mortgage rates won't change.

To the contrary, expect mortgage rates to move by a lot this afternoon. Here's why.

The Fed's mission is to preserve stability within banking and the economy and, to achieve that goal, the Fed was bequeathed a number of powers by the U.S. government.

The most well-known of those powers is to right to set the Fed Funds Rate, the rate at which banks lend money to each other overnight. 

Since December 2008, the benchmark Fed Funds Rate has been held in a range of 0.000-0.250 percent, the lowest possible range without going negative.

Now, when the Fed Funds Rate is low, it's meant to loosen credit; to push the economy forward. And, by all accounts, the near-zero Fed Funds Rate is working. The recession ended and the economy is recovering.

However, the Fed has other stimulus-providing tools at its disposal and Wall Street expects the group to use them.  This is where mortgage rates come into play. 

Investors think the Fed will announce a new stimulus in its press release this afternoon and, dependent on the size of package, mortgage rates will either rise, or fall.

  • If the package is worth more than $500 billion, rates are expected to fall
  • If the package is worth less than $250 billion, rates are expected to rise

If the stimulus is somewhere in between, rates should idle.

Predicting mortgage rates is an inexact science, and guessing the Fed even moreso. Therefore, if you're shopping for a mortgage rate right now, the prudent move is to lock it up prior to today's 2:15 PM ET adjournment because, after to 2:15 PM ET, we can count on the Fed Funds Rate staying flat, but the same can't be said for mortgage rates. 

Call your loan officer this morning.

Tuesday, November 2, 2010

Better Credit Scores Get Better Mortgage Rates

This week marks the start of the Refi Boom's 7th month ; rates have been falling since early-April 2010. Whether you're looking to refinance or buy a home, however, know that not everyone will qualify for today's low rates.

Mortgage approvals are primarily based on good income, good equity and strong credit, and, without all three, the best rates of the day remain out of reach. Now, you can't always ask for a raise and equity is a function of the housing market, but you can do something about your credit score.

In this 4-minute segment from NBC's The Today Show, you learn some credit basics to help propel your score higher:

  • There's no "quick fix" for credit. Time + Good Credit Behavior = Better FICOs.
  • Pay every bill when it comes due. Even one late payment can damage your score.
  • Don't close old credit cards

Also among the segment's advice is to stop worrying about whether rates have bottomed. Refinance today if it makes financial sense. Then, if, by chance, rates fall in the future, just refinance again.  Don't be greedy, we're told.

Monday, November 1, 2010

TO ALL THE KIDS WHO SURVIVED THE 1930's, 40's, 50's, 60's and 70's!

TO ALL THE KIDS WHO SURVIVED THE 1930's, 40's, 50's, 60's and 70's!!

First, we survived being born to mothers who smoked and/or drank while they were pregnant.

They took aspirin, ate blue cheese dressing, tuna from a can and didn't get tested for diabetes.

Then after that trauma, we were put to sleep on our tummies in baby cribs covered with bright colored lead-base paints.

We had no childproof lids on medicine bottles, locks on doors or cabinets and when we rode our bikes, we had baseball caps not helmets on our heads.

As infants & children, we would ride in cars with no car seats, no booster seats, no seat belts, no air bags, bald tires and sometimes no brakes.

Riding in the back of a pick- up truck on a warm day was always a special treat.

We drank water from the garden hose and not from a bottle.

We shared one soft drink with four friends, from one bottle and no one actually died from this.

We ate cupcakes made with Lard, white bread, real butter and bacon. We drank FLAV- OR- AID made with real white sugar. And, we weren't overweight. WHY? Because we were always outside playing....that's why!

We would leave home in the morning and play all day, as long as we were back when the streetlights came on. No one was able to reach us all day. And, we were OKAY.

We would spend hours building our go-carts out of scraps and then ride them down the hill, only to find out we forgot the brakes. After running into the bushes a few times, we learned to solve the problem.

We did not have Play stations, Nintendo's and X-boxes. There were no video games, no 150 channels on cable, no video movies or DVD's, no surround-sound or CD's, no cell phones, no personal computers, no Internet and no chat rooms.

WE HAD FRIENDS and we went outside and found them!

We fell out of trees, got cut, broke bones and teeth and there were no lawsuits from these accidents.

We would get spankings with wooden spoons, switches, ping pong paddles, or just a bare hand and no one would call child services to report abuse.

We ate worms and mud pies made from dirt, and the worms did not live in us forever.

We were given BB guns for our 10th birthdays, made up games with sticks and tennis balls and, although we were told it would happen, we did not put out very many eyes.

We rode bikes or walked to a friend's house and knocked on the door or rang the bell, or just walked in and talked to them.

Little League had tryouts and not everyone made the team. Those who didn't had to learn to deal with disappointment. Imagine that!!

The idea of a parent bailing us out if we broke the law was unheard of. They actually sided with the law!

These generations have produced some of the best risk-takers, problem solvers and inventors ever.
The past 50 years have been an explosion of innovation and new ideas. What can kids today do besides push buttons!

We had freedom, failure, success and responsibility, and we learned how to deal with it all.

If YOU are one of them, CONGRATULATIONS!

You might want to share this with others who have had the luck to grow up as kids, before the lawyers and the government regulated so much of our lives for our own good.

Kind of makes you want to run through the house with scissors, doesn't it?

1st Impressions Do Count

Caulking Made Simple With "Caulk Singles"

Caulk SinglesThe amount of air that leaks from the seams of a typical home is the same amount of air that would escape through an open window. It's why home care experts recommend a routine caulking of a home's windows and doors -- at least once per year.

Solid, all-around caulk jobs can reduce a home's energy bill by as much as 20 percent.

A homeowner's basic toolkit should include the familiar caulking gun and tube for larger jobs, but for spot treatment, Caulk Singles can be a good alternative.  A product of GE, Caulk Singles are single-use caulking "packages", squeezable like a toothpaste tube. 

The singles are easier-to-control than a traditional caulking tube, and require no instruction or experience.

Caulk Singles are made in 3 varieties :

  • Waterproof Silicone (White), for white finishes
  • Waterproof Silicone (Clear), for colored finishes
  • Paintable Acrylic, for paintable seals

Caulk Singles cost roughly $2.50 per package on Amazon, but may be cheaper at a local hardware store.

Friday, October 29, 2010

Foreclosure Activity By Metro Area, Q3 2010

Foreclosures by Metro Area, Q3 2010

Foreclosures are a big part of the housing market, with distressed properties accounting for 35 percent of all home resales last month, according to the National Association of REALTORS®.

But for as common as foreclosures can be, they remain a localized concern. Data from foreclosure-tracking firm RealtyTrac shows that more than half of last quarter's foreclosures came from just 19 metropolitan areas, with the Miami-Fort Lauderdale are accountable for the largest number of filings.

A "foreclosure filing" is defined as a default notice, scheduled auction, or bank repossession.

On a per-household basis last quarter, the Las Vegas area was hardest hit. 1 in every 25 households received some form of foreclosure notice.

The RealtyTrac report features other interesting figures, too:

  • California, Florida, Arizona and Nevada account for the top 10, and19 of the top 20 metro areas for foreclosures
  • Compared to Q3 2009, foreclosure activity dropped in 72 metro areas, including No. 2 Cape Coral/Fort Myers, FL
  • Foreclosure activity dropped 1 percent from Q3 2009 in the nation's 20 most-populated cities

And, despite a 27 percent increase in foreclosures from the second quarter, Utica/Rome, NY posted the lowest foreclosure rate in the nation -- 1 for every 8,003 households. The next closest city, Charleston, WV, posted 1 for every 2,600 households, by comparison.

Foreclosures, like everything in real estate, are local. And buying them is "different" from buying a typical home resale. If you're planning to buy a foreclosed home, speak with a real estate agent with specific experience with homes in foreclosure. Professional advice is helpful.

Thursday, October 28, 2010

Ghost Cookies

GHOST COOKIES
Here are the easiest cookies to make ever! Impress friends and family (it only takes a few minutes)

Ingredients:
1 lb white candy coating, chopped
1 pkg (1 lb) Nutter Butter cookies
Minature Chocolate Chips

Directions:
1. In a microwave-safe bowl, melt candy coating. 20 seconds, stir, repeat until smooth. Dip cookies into coating, covering completely. Place on waxed paper. 2. Brush ends with a pastry brush dipped in coating where fingers touched cookies. While coating is still warm, place two chips on each cookie for eyes. Let stand until set. Store in an airtight container.

New Home Housing Stock Drops To A 5-Month Low

New Home Sales (September 2009-2010)In the same week that the National Association of REALTORS reported home resales up 10 percent in September, the U.S. Census Bureau reported similarly strong results for the new construction market. 

After improving 1 percent in August, New Home Sales popped another 7 percent in September.

It's no wonder homebuilder confidence is at a 5-month high.

  • Sales volume is higher in 4 of the last 5 months
  • New home supply is at a 5-month low
  • Buyer foot traffic is on the rise

For home buyers , September's New Home Sales data may foreshadow a shift in builder sales strategies and it's something worth watching.

Recall that in April, the month that the federal homebuyer tax credit contract deadline passed for non-military citizens, sales of new homes was strong as buyers rushed to meet the April 30 cut-off date.

When the month ended, there were 216,000 new homes for sale -- an inventory that would have taken 6 months to sell off in full, given April's sales pace.

In May, however, the month after the tax credit deadline, buyers vanished. As a consequence, total units sold dropped 31 percent to their lowest level in recorded history. Coincidentally, at the end of May, there were still 216,000 units for sale.

By contrast, though, at May's sale pace, the inventory would have needed nine months to sell out.

This is why builders are optimistic. The market for new construction is improving so buyers may have a harder time trying to negotiate for items like free upgrades or sales price reductions. So long as New Home Sales improve, home buyers may find themselves paying more money for less house.

Therefore, if you're in the market for a newly-built home , you may want to move up your time frame. The longer you wait, the more it may cost you.

Wednesday, October 27, 2010

Home Values Up 0.4 Percent In August, On Average

Home Price Index from April 2007 peak

Consistent with the most recent Case-Shiller Index, the government's Home Price Index said home prices rose between July and August. 

The Federal Home Finance Agency's data showed values up 0.4 percent nationwide, on average. Region-by-region, however, the results were scattered. Coastal states tended to perform poorly. Plains states tended to perform well.

A brief look at the regional disparity:

  • West South Central : +1.5%
  • East North Central : +1.2%
  • Pacific : -0.2%
  • South Atlantic : -0.2%

Breakdowns like this are important because they highlight the fundamental problem with national real estate data and that's that home buyers don't buy real estate in a national market, or even a regional one.

Buyers buy local.

When we look at national figures like the Home Price Index, it's important to remember that real estate is a collection of tiny markets which, when lumped together, form small markets which, in turn, lump together into larger markets and so forth.

To illustrate this point, a deeper look at August's Home Price Index data shows that, within the aforementioned Pacific Region, in which home values fell 0.2%, the state of California posted a 2.9% increase. You can be sure that within the state of California, there are cities that performed better than the 2.9 percent, and within those cities, there are neighborhoods that did the same.

Real estate is most definitely local.

That said, we can't discount the national report entirely. Broader housing statistics like the Home Price Index reflect on the economy and are often used to help shape policy in the nation's capital. When you need to know what's happening in your hometown, though, your best source of data is a knowledgeable real estate professional.

Tuesday, October 26, 2010

Existing Home Sales Jump; Housing Market Shows Spark

Existing Home Sales (Sept 2009-Sept 2010)Existing home sales jumped 10 percent in September, the biggest monthly jump on record and a signal that the housing market may be returning to a normal sales pattern post-$8,000 federal tax credit.

Existing Home Sales counts home resales (i.e. not new construction) and 80 percent of home resales close within 45-60 days. It's no surprise, therefore, September's data is strong.

Throughout the July and August, mortgage rates were in free-fall, pushing home affordability to near-record levels. Concurrently, the number of homes available for sale climbed to multi-year highs.

"Deals" were in ample supply this summer and eager home buyers snatched them up.

Some of these deals included "distressed properties", a categorization that includes homes in various stages of foreclosure or short sale, accounted for 35 percent of all sales, an uptick of 1 percent from August.

According to the National Association of Realtors®, home resales split as follows:

  • First-time buyers : 32 percent of all buyers
  • Repeat home buyers : 50 percent of all buyers
  • Investors : 18 percent of all buyers

By contrast, in November 2009, first-timers accounted for more than half of all resales.

For home buyers, September's Existing Home Sales report foreshadows a more competitive housing market through the New Year. In addition to rising sales volume, home supplies are down by nearly 2 months from July.

At the current pace of sales, the complete housing stock would be depleted in 10.7 months.

Monday, October 25, 2010

Downturn in Real Estate

How To Clean Window Blinds

31 percent of homeowners say "cleaning window blinds" is their least favorite household chore. Perhaps that's because they haven't seen how simple blind-cleaning can be.

In this 2-minute video from HowCast, you'll learn the basics of blind-cleaning with nothing more than a dust cloth and towel, a sponge and all-purpose cleaner, and ordinary dryer sheets.

The steps are basic:

  1. Get the dust off with the dryer sheet
  2. Remove the blinds from the window
  3. Go outside, or find a bathtub
  4. Wash, rinse, and dry with the towel
  5. Re-attach the blinds

Cleaning window blinds is a monthly activity, but with regular dusting, you could push that schedule to quarterly, depending on your home's airborne particles and overall cleanliness.  The trick is that when you do wash your blinds, you wash them properly.

Friday, October 22, 2010

Time To Refinance? Mortgage Rates Down 1.00 Percent Since April.

Freddie Mac mortgage rates (January - October 2010)

30-year fixed mortgage rates rose last week, marking the first time in a month that rates failed to fall week-to-week.

The data sources from Freddie Mac, one of the government's major mortgage securitizers and a sister entity to Fannie Mae. Each week, Freddie Mac collects mortgage rate data from more than 120 lenders nationwide and publishes the results in a report called the Primary Mortgage Market Survey.

According to this week's PMMS, the 30-year fixed rate rose 0.02% and now averages 4.21% nationally. The average accompanying cost is 0.8 points.

1 point is equal to 1 percent of the loan size.

Note, though, that these are just averages. Just as real estate markets are local, mortgage rates can be, too. As an illustration, look how this week's rates break down by region:

  • Northeast : 4.22 with 0.8 points
  • Southeast : 4.30 with 0.8 points
  • N. Central : 4.19 with 0.8 points
  • Southeast : 4.23 with 0.7 points
  • West : 4.17 with 1.0 points

The rate-and-fee combination you'd get in your home state , in other words, is different from the rate-and-fee combination you'd get if you lived somewhere else. In the West, rates are low and fees are high; in the Southeast, it's the opposite.

The good news is that, as a rate shopper, you can have it whichever way you prefer. If getting the absolute lowest mortgage rate is worth the extra cost to you, have your loan officer structure to structure your loan as such. Or, if you prefer higher rates and lower costs, you can go that route, too.

Banks offer multiple mortgage set-ups to meet every type of budget and, with rates down 1.00% since April 8, there's good cause to call your loan officer about a mortgage refinance. See what set-up will work best for you.

Thursday, October 21, 2010

See How Credit Missteps Lower Your Credit Score

The FICO Recipe

The company behind the popular FICO scoring model has published a "What If?" series for common, specific credit missteps.

If you've ever wondered how your credit score would be affected by a missed payment or a maxed-out credit card, now you can use a look-up guide to assess the probable damage.

As published by myFICO.com, here's a few common financial difficulties and how they affect FICO scores.

Max-Out A Credit Card

  • Starting score of 780 : 25-45 point drop
  • Starting score of 680 : 10-30 point drop

30-Day Delinquency

  • Starting score of 780 : 90-110 point drop
  • Starting score of 680 : 60-80 point drop

Foreclosure

  • Starting score of 780 : 140-160 point drop
  • Starting score of 680 : 85-105 point drop

Not surprisingly, the higher your starting score, the more each given difficulty can drop your FICO.  This is because credit scores are meant to predict the likelihood of a loan default. People with lower FICOs are already reflecting the effects of risky credit behavior.

Also worth noting that the above is just a guide -- your scores may fall by more -- or less -- depending on your individuak credit profile.  The number and type of credit accounts you hold, plus their respective payments and balances make up your complete credit history.

Read the complete report at myFICO.com.

Wednesday, October 20, 2010

Price isn't the whole story when buying a house

Wow! Interest rates took another drop this week! We are at an all-time low.

Housing Starts Jump In September, Buoyed By Homebuilder Confidence

Housing starts Oct 2008-Sept 2010According to the Commerce Department, the number of single-family Housing Starts increased to 452,000 units in September, a 19,000 improvement over August.

A "housing start" is a new home on which construction has started.

Housing Starts data is surveyed and broken-down by housing type:

  1. Single-Family Housing Starts
  2. Multi-Unit Housing Starts (2-4 Units)
  3. Apartment Building Housing Starts (5 or more units)

The government logs each type separately, but also lumps them into a single, comprehensive figure within its reports. For this reason, headlines surrounding the story seem contradictory.

For example:

  • Marketwatch : Housing starts rise for 3rd straight month, up 0.3%
  • CNN : Housing starts jump to 5-month high

It's single-family homes that most Americans purchase, though, and that's why single-family starts are the numbers worth watching. As 75% of the market, it's more relevant than the joint numbers most commonly reported by the press.

In September, single-family starts did move to a 5-month high but buyers and sellers should keep the figures in perspective. Just because starts are rising doesn't mean the housing sector has turned around for good.

The first reason why is because, in September, starts were 75 percent less as compared to 5 years ago at the peak of housing. And if you feel that's an unfair comparison, even as compared to the last 12 months, September's data was tens of thousands below average.

Second, September's Margin of Error happened to exceed its actual measurement. This means that the 4 percent in starts may actually turn out to be a loss of 4 percent (or more!) once the data is collected in full.

If there's a reason to think the New Homes market is coming back, though, it's that home builder confidence is also at a 5-month high. Foot traffic is rising and builders are optimistic about the next six months.  This could mean higher sales prices and less chance for negotiation.

Buyers in search of new homes may find it tougher to make a deal the closer we get to 2011.

Tuesday, October 19, 2010

5 Reasons You Should Sell Your House TODAY!


1. Entering this time of year, the buyers are more serious.
At this time of year, the ‘lookers’ are at the stores doing their holiday shopping. The home buyers left in the market are serious and are more apt to make a purchasing decision. Less showings – but to more motivated purchasers.

2. If you are moving up, you can save thousands.
Do the math; this might be the right time.A home that was once worth $300,000 may now be worth $240,000 in a market where prices have fallen 20 percent. Wow, you think, the seller is taking a bath. But that seller may also be a prospective buyer who wants a house that once was valued at $400,000. With an equivalent market drop and a realistic listing price, that house may now sell for $320,000. So, in effect, the person is losing $60,000 on the sale of one home but coming out ahead $20,000 on the purchase of another.Keep in mind the spread may be even greater.
3. Interest rates just fell again – to 4.19%. Professor Karl E. Case, the founder of the Case Shiller Pricing Index in an article in the New York Times last month actually did the math for us:Four years ago, the monthly payment on a $300,000 house with 20 percent down and a mortgage rate of about 6.6 percent was $1,533. Today that $300,000 house would sell for $213,000 and a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage with 20 percent down would carry a rate of about 4.2 percent and a monthly payment of $833 … housing has perhaps never been a better bargain.

4. You beat the rush of inventory that is coming next year. Every year there is an increase of inventory which comes to market from January through April as homeowners put their houses up for sale in preparation for the spring market. You won’t have to worry about this increasing competition if you sell now.
5. You have less ‘discounted’ inventory with which to compete. This year, sellers of non-distressed properties have been given an early holiday present. With banks declaring a suspension on the sale of many distressed properties (foreclosures), there has been a large supply of discounted properties removed from competition. No one knows how long this self imposed moratorium will last. However, while it does, every homeowner has a better chance of selling their property.

Bottom Line: If you are looking to sell in the near future, there may not be a more opportune time than this fall. Serious buyers, great move-up deals and less competition from foreclosures creates the perfect selling situation. Don’t miss it!

As Buyer Foot Traffic Rises, So Does Homebuilder Confidence

NAHB Housing Market Index October 2008-2010

As the "pulse of the single-family housing market", the Housing Market Index is a monthly product of the National Association of Homebuilders. Its scores range from 1-100, with a reading a 50 or better suggesting "favorable conditions" for builders.

Because of its methodology, the Housing Market Index can offer excellent insight into the market for newly-built homes. This is because its value is a composite of three survey questions:

  1. How are market conditions today?
  2. How do market conditions look 6 months from now?
  3. How is the prospective traffic of new buyers for new homes?

Builder responses are collected, weighted, then presented as the Housing Market Index.

According to the NAHB, October's HMI reading of 16 is its highest value in 5 months. The uptick hints that the market for newly-built homes may rebound more quickly that this summer's weak new homes sales figures would otherwise suggest.

You'll remember that, between April and August, the number of new homes sold per month fell by 30 percent and the available, new home inventory climbed 2.3 months.

This month, though, builders report much better foot traffic and, as a result, have raised their expectations for the next six months of sales. Low mortgage rates are likely aiding the optimism, too.

As compared to 1 year ago, average, 30-year fixed mortgage rates are lower by 0.75 percent, a payment savings of $45 per $100,000 borrowed.

Monday, October 18, 2010

Tools For Design : Visualize Your Home In Different Colors

Exterior Home DesignIn home design, the exterior is as important as the interior. The exterior are your home's first impression while performing the double-duty of protecting living space from damage and Mother Nature.

And, occasionally, you may want to make upgrades.

For some people, visualizing changes to a home's exterior is easy. For others, though, there's the Better Homes and Gardens Color-a-Home tool.

Color-a-Home is a website via which homeowners can test different exterior home designs and color combinations.  Using a series of drop-down menus and mix-and-match swatch colors, homeowners can build home exterior mock-ups featuring:

  • New roofing
  • New siding
  • New windows
  • New shutters and doors

 

Better than a mental picture of your home -- get an actual picture.

The Better Homes and Gardens site requires basic site registration to use its Color This! product suite. Color This! is also available for home interiors and window treatments.

Friday, October 15, 2010

Avoiding Common Mortgage Scams

Despite tougher mortgage guidelines and better loan disclosures for consumers, mortgage fraud is on the rise, according to the FBI.

Fraud has many varieties and it's estimated cost to the nation is between $4-6 billion annually.  Today, common mortgage fraud scams target homeowners behind in their mortgage payments and/or facing foreclosure. And, despite the hordes of legitimate organizations that dedicate themselves to helping consumers, mortgage fraudsters proliferate.

In this 3-minute piece from NBC's The Today Show, you'll learn to spot common frauds, and to avoid them.

Some of the frauds highlighted include:

  1. The Rent-to-Buy arrangement
  2. The Bait-and-Switch
  3. The "Phantom fees"

With respect to mortgage paperwork, it's always wise to read what you're signing, and to take time to understand what it means. If you're uncomfortable reading mortgage documents, ask for an attorney's help. And don't worry if you don't have the budget -- many states offer free or discounted help via advocacy groups.

Thursday, October 14, 2010

Unemployed? Get a federal loan to pay your mortgage

Unemployed? Get a federal loan to pay your mortgage

Unemployed and can’t pay your mortgage? You soon can apply for a no-interest government loan for up to $50,000 to pay your mortgage and cover your arrears. The loan, which can offer assistance for up to two years, will be forgiven if the homeowner stays in the house for five years.


Read the entire story:
http://money.cnn.com/2010/10/05/news/economy/unemployed_mortgage_help/index.htm

Great House! Great Location!

Bank Reposessions Top 100,000 In A Month For The First Time Ever

Foreclosure concentration, by state (September 2010)The number of foreclosure filings rose 3 percent in September, according to foreclosure-tracking firm RealtyTrac. The term "foreclosure filing" is a catch-all word for housing, comprising default notices, scheduled auctions, and bank repossessions.

September marked the 19th straight month that the number of filings topped 300,000, and the first month in which 100,000 repossessions were logged.

As usual, a small number of states dominated the national foreclosure figures, accounting for more than half of all repossessions.

  1. California : 17% of all repossessions
  2. Florida : 13% of all repossessions
  3. Michigan : 7% of all repossessions
  4. Arizona : 7% of all repossessions
  5. Texas : 5% of all repossessions
  6. Georgia : 5% of all repossessions

Thankfully for home sellers, mortgage servicers appear to be metering the pace at these newly bank-owned homes are made available to the public. RealtyTrac notes that, in doing so, servicers prevent "the further erosion of home prices".

That said, distressed properties still sell at a steep discount.

In the second quarter of 2010, the average sale price of homes in the foreclosure process was 26 percent lower than the average sale price of homes not in the foreclosure process. It's no surprise, therefore, that, based on RealtyTrac's preliminary data, 31 percent of all homes sold in September were "distressed".

There's lot of good deals out there, in other words, but they come with certain risks.

Buying a foreclosed home is not the same as buying a non-foreclosed home. Specifically, you're buying from a corporation and not from a "person". Contracts may vary, and so may terms.

Therefore, home buyers -- even experienced ones -- should talk with a real estate agent before making an offer. It's important to understand the foreclosure-buying process.

Price isn't the whole story when buying a home



This is what I mean. Interesting isn't it?


Wednesday, October 13, 2010

The New Foreclosure Mess - What it Means to You.

Last week we reported on the beginnings of the mess the banks created by using ‘robo-signers’ to fast track foreclosure filings. We detailed the challenge and said that “the process of foreclosing may grind to a screeching halt”. And, it has. Bank of America has announced that it has halted foreclosures in all fifty states. Other major lenders have ceased foreclosures in 23 states and some politicians are calling for a total industry-wide moratorium.

Today, we want to explain what is actually taking place and what impact the situation may have on you and your family over the next several months.

Currently, many banks have ceased foreclosure procedures in all states which require a judicial process. California does not require a judicial process.  You can find out whether your state requires such a process by visiting All Foreclosure.com which lists foreclosure procedures by state. It is our belief that all fifty states will eventually be impacted by the controversy.

How will it impact you?
That depends on where you are in the real estate process. We will look at three situations: your home is in foreclosure, you are selling or you’re buying a foreclosure.

You are a homeowner in the foreclosure process
It appears that some banks will be backing away from following through with normal foreclosure processes until they can be assured that their paperwork is in order. Early estimates are calling for a potential 30-90 delay to many foreclosure procedures (notices, repossessions, sales, etc.) However, there is absolutely no way for anyone to be sure whether your particular situation will be delayed.

You are currently selling a house
We have reported often on the affect foreclosures have on home prices in a community. The actual impact is measurable.

According to RealtyTrac, bank-owned properties went for an average of 35% less than non-foreclosure sales. Foreclosures not only absorb buyers but also impact the appraisals of the homes that surround them.

Obviously, if there are less distressed properties coming to the market, there will be less downward pressure on pricing in the short term. The Washington Post, in an article last week, reported:

Stretching out the foreclosure process would reduce the number of houses dumped on the market over the next six months, which could help firm up housing prices in the short term and put some extra support under a sagging economy
There may be a window of opportunity for a seller to maximize the price they receive for their home if they sell in the next 90 days.

You are currently buying a foreclosure
A portion of the inventory of foreclosed homes on the market has been frozen. Banks and title companies (who insure good title to the property a buyer purchases) want to make sure the bank actually owns the property legally before they sell it.  The Washington Post in an article last week reported:
If you are buying a foreclosure, anticipate potential delays. We do not believe there will be large numbers of cancellations. Be patient and realize that you are getting a substantial savings on the purchase.
Nick Chaconas, a Maryland real estate agent, said he was one week from completing a foreclosure deal for one client, who was buying a $470,000 fixer-upper in Potomac, when an e-mail arrived putting the deal on the skids.
The e-mail, from the title insurance company involved in the deal, said the mortgage lender PNC was suspending foreclosure sales for at least 30 days “due to a review being undertaken on all foreclosure files.”

How long will the challenge persist?
The impact this will have on the housing recovery will be determined by both the depth and width of the challenge. Are there large numbers of homes that were mistakenly foreclosed on? We doubt it. Will the instances where errors (or even fraud) did exist cause mass delays? Maybe.


How will it impact the market overall?
Even though the impact will be the least in California because we are not a judicial state.  There could be widespread ramifications. The Washington Post in an article last week:
It would not help the recovery of the economy, or the real estate market, if the foreclosure process became so hopelessly tangled that banks and investors effectively lose the ability to recoup the remaining value of their collateral. That would provide some immediate financial relief to households facing foreclosure, but it would encourage many more homeowners to begin shirking their mortgage payments in the belief that they would also be able to avoid the consequences. The long term consequences of that would be that mortgage rates would be higher and mortgage loans would be smaller and harder to get.
Bottom Line
As we said last week, fewer foreclosures coming to the market right now will mean prices will be less impacted. However, these properties will eventually come to market; if not now, than later. That will delay the housing recovery – perhaps for years.
If class actions suits start to dominate this story, it could be a long time before we normalize the situation.

Fed Minutes Edge Mortgage Rates Higher

FOMC September 2010 MinutesThe Federal Reserve released its September 21, 2010 meeting minutes Tuesday afternoon. Mortgage rates are slightly higher today.

It's unwelcome news for this season's home buyers, and existing homeowners with plans to grab lower rates. Mortgage rates made new lows last week and may have reached a turn-around point.

The "Fed Minutes" is published 8 times annually, and is the official meeting recap for the Federal Open Market Committee. Similar to the meeting minutes released after a corporate conference or condo association gathering, the Fed Minutes details the conversation and debate between meeting attendees.

Minutes are the lengthy companion to the Fed's brief, post-meeting press release.

Because of its content, the Fed Minutes is closely read by Wall Street and economists. It's insight into the talk that shapes our nation's monetary policy and, within the text, there's often clues about the Fed's next move.

Here's some of what the Fed discussed last month:

  • On inflation : It's running at lower-than-optimal levels
  • On housing : Post-tax credit, housing stalled in July
  • On stimulus : The Fed may intervene in open markets within the next few months

 

The over-riding theme within the minutes was that the U.S. economy is growing a steady pace, albeit slower than what's optimal. The Fed is prepared to push things along if the economy slows further and news like that is helping stock markets.

Bond markets are losing. Rates are rising.

For now, mortgage rates hover near all-time lows.  If you haven't locked a mortgage rate yet, your window may be closing.  Once the economy turns around for certain, mortgage rates will be among the first of the casualties.

Tuesday, October 12, 2010

Homeowner Maintenance : Twice-Annual Gutter Cleaning

Clean your gutters twice annuallyGutters are designed to funnel rainwater away from a home. Properly working gutters help keep a home's basement from filling with water, and protect a home's foundation from long-term, structural damage, and keep a roof in tip-top shape.

In other words, keeping clean gutters is essential for homeowners. Thankfully, gutter maintenance can be a do-it-yourself job.

There are four main steps in gutter cleaning, summarized cleanly in this 4-minute video from Lowe's.

  1. Gather your tools. You'll need a ladder, a bucket, a hose, and a trowel.
  2. Scoop large debris from the gutter, using the trowel for hard-to-reach places smaller sticks and leaves
  3. Flush the gutters using a garden hose and spray attachment
  4. Remove clogs in the downspout and check for proper sloping

Gutter maintenance is a twice a year task and the Lowe's video offers helpful safety tips, too.  Of course, if you're uncomfortable on a ladder, or prefer to hire a professional, reach out to me anytime.

I'm happy to make a local gutter-cleaning recommendation.

Friday, October 8, 2010

Jobs Data Shows Private Sector Growth, Hints At Lower Mortgage Rates

Net Job Gains Oct 2008 - Sept 2010On the first Friday of each month, the Bureau of Labor Statistics releases its Non-Farm Payrolls report from the month prior.  This month, though, because the first Friday of the month was also the first day of the month, the report was delayed one week.

The report hit the wires at 8:30 AM ET this morning.

More commonly called "the jobs report", the government's non-farm payrolls data influences stock and bond markets, and, in the process, swings a big stick with home affordability figures nationwide.

Especially in today's economic climate.

Although the recession has been deemed over, Wall Street remains unconvinced. Data fails to show the economy moving strongly in one direction or the other and, absent job creation, economists believe growth to be illusionary.

Consider:

  1. With job creation comes more income, and more spending.
  2. With more spending comes growth in business
  3. With growth in business comes more job creation

And the cycle continues.

The prevailing thought is that, without jobs, consumer spending can't sustain and consumer spending accounts for two-thirds of the economy. No job growth, no economy recovery.

But there's another angle to the jobs report, too; one that connects to the housing market. As the jobs market recovers, today's renters are more likely to become tomorrow's homeowners, and today's homeowners are more likely to "move-up" to bigger homes. This means more competition for homes at all price points and, therefore, higher home values.

And that brings us to today's jobs data.

According to the government, 95,000 jobs were lost in September. Economists expected a net loss of 5,000.  However, if public sector jobs are excluded from the final figures, jobs grew by 64,000.  This is a positive for the private-sector, but still trailed expectations.

Wall Street is voting with its dollars right now and mortgage bonds are gaining, improving mortgage pricing.

So, although the September 2010 jobs report doesn't reflect well on the economy overall, home affordability around the country should improve as a result. 

Thursday, October 7, 2010

Fannie Mae Rolls Out New Lending Rules December 13, 2010

Fannie Mae changes mortgage guidelinesStarting Monday, December 13, 2010, Fannie Mae is changing its mortgage lending guidelines.

For some mortgage applicants , the loan approval process will simplify. For others, it will toughen. How you'll be affected personally will depend on your credit profile and your loan characteristics.

Among the biggest changes from Fannie Mae is a new set of guidelines for gift funds. When the new rules roll out, accepting cash gifts for downpayment will be easier.

Undetr the new guidelines, buyers of owner-occupied, 1-unit properties (i.e. single-family homes, condos, townhomes) can forgo Fannie Mae's typical, minimum 5% personal downpayment contribution. Downpayments on homes meeting the above criteria can be comprised of 100% gifted and/or granted funds.

Buyers of second homes and multi-unit properties, however, are not exempt.

There's also two changes pending with respect to revolving debt.

  1. Debt with less than 10 payments remaining may no longer be waived in debt-to-income ratio calculations
  2. Debt lacking a monthly payment on credit must be assigned a payment equal to 5% of the outstanding balance

Both of the above should increase the number of loan denials in 2011.

And, lastly, Fannie Mae changes some of its documentation requirements, the most noticeable of which will be with respect to income verification. Salaried workers and applicants whose commission/bonus accounts for less than a quarter of their income will have fewer paystubs to produce for underwriting.

Loan applications taken prior to December 13, 2010 are exempt from the new rules.

Fannie Mae's complete guideline changes are available online at http://efanniemae.com.